{"id":185,"date":"2020-01-06T04:10:00","date_gmt":"2020-01-06T09:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/pflpetroleum.com\/reports\/?p=185"},"modified":"2023-07-28T11:09:40","modified_gmt":"2023-07-28T15:09:40","slug":"pfl-railcar-report-1-6-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pflpetroleum.com\/reports\/pfl-railcar-report-1-6-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"PFL Railcar Report 1-6-2020"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cA lie gets halfway around the world before the truth has a chance to get its pants on.\u201d<\/p>\n<cite>Winston Churchill <\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\"><strong>Canada won the Gold Medal<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>We have quite a bit of breaking news to share with you this week. Perhaps the most important news to share, if you are Canadian, is that&nbsp;<strong>Canada won the Gold Medal in the World Junior Hockey Tournament against the Russians in a 4-3 victory<\/strong>&nbsp;coming from behind 3-1 going into the third period. Congratulations to our Canadian readers \u2013 well done!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">2020 The Year of Geopolitical Risks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Well folks, we are entering the year with a lot of geopolitical risk<\/strong>. Iran, Russia and China got together practicing some war games at the same time we are in the final throes of negotiating stage one of the&nbsp;<strong>China\/US trade deal. China continues to have problems at home as protests continue. Iran attacked our embassy and Trump retaliated by taking out Qassem Soleimani with a drone at the Baghdad Airport<\/strong>. Iran is now warning of retaliation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just yesterday the&nbsp;<strong>Iraqi Parliament, in a surprise vote, voted in favor of expelling U.S. Troops from their country. Trump says the U.S. will not leave<\/strong>&nbsp;unless Iraq repays billions of dollars for airbases and other infrastructure. We don\u2019t see any good that is going to come out of the departure of U.S. troops from Iraq other than crude going up (up nearly 4% on Friday), which is good news for rail and U.S. producers.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Crude Oil Markets<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>In overnight markets, crude surged<\/strong>&nbsp;further and we expect a positive open this morning. We expect a surge in U.S. rig count activity over the next few months as frac sand producer\u2019s hedge and E&amp;Ps get to work drilling to backfill presold crude. The storing of rail cars, although still robust, has slowed down (see PFL storage report) and we could see on the back of recent events some freeing up of hoppers and tank cars, a positive for rail. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite this, West Texas won\u2019t see any rail cars anytime soon as five new oil pipelines are set to open in the Permian Basin through 2021, expanding a gap between production and takeaway capacity that\u2019s already forcing companies to cut fees and could mean lower profits and cutthroat competition ahead.&nbsp;<strong>The leaving of U.S. troops from Iraq would pave the way for Iran to take over that country which, while negative for US interests, will only fuel an already bullish energy complex.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">The Economy<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The economy despite all the political uncertainty looks pretty good folks<\/strong>. Housing starts are up as low U.S. interest rates are attracting more buyers &#8211; 70% of house builders are bullish. 266,000 net new jobs were created in November. Unemployment fell to 3.5% in November. Consumer confidence is still high standing at 125.5. Consumer spending is robust.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">North American Rig Count<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>North American Rig count is down 23 rigs week over week with the U.S. losing 9 and Canada losing 14 rigs. Year over year we are down 270 rigs collectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Total North American rail volumes were down 7.3% year over year in week 52<\/strong>&nbsp;(U.S. -9.2%, Canada -1.0%, Mexico -7.2%), resulting in fourth quarter volumes that were down 7.4% and 2019 volumes that were down 4.0% (U.S. -5.0%, Canada -0.4%, Mexico -2.9%). 9 of the AAR&#8217;s 11 major traffic categories posted year over year decreases with the largest declines coming from intermodal (-7.6%), coal (-11.5%), grain (-19.1%), motor vehicles &amp; parts (-16.9%) metallic ores &amp; metals (-4.9%) and nonmetallic minerals (-6.3%). The largest increase came from farm products &amp; food (+8.1%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">In the East<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>CSX\u2019s total volumes were down 5.9%<\/strong>, with the largest decreases coming from intermodal (-5.3%) and coal (-10.2%).&nbsp;<strong>NS\u2019s total volumes were down 14.0%<\/strong>, with the largest decreases coming from intermodal (-10.0%), coal (-27.6%), grain (-35.4%) and motor vehicles &amp; parts (-19.6%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">In the West<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>BN\u2019s total volumes were down 6.4%<\/strong>, with the largest decreases coming from intermodal (-8.3%), grain (-21.8%), petroleum (-15.2%) and stone sand and gravel (-25.3%). The largest increase came from coal (+4.6%).&nbsp;<strong>UP\u2019s total volumes were down 10.4%<\/strong>, with the largest decreases coming from intermodal (-13.9%) and coal (-30.6%). The largest increase came from petroleum (+21.0%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">In Canada<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>CN\u2019s total volumes were down 4.9%<\/strong>&nbsp;with the largest decreases coming from intermodal (-5.9%), grain (-30.0%) and chemicals (-10.7%). RTMs were down 7.6%.&nbsp;<strong>CP\u2019s total volumes were up 7.9%<\/strong>, with the largest increases coming from intermodal (+13.9%) and farm products (+82.6%). The largest decrease came from grain (-15.6%). RTMs were up 7.6%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">Kansas City Southern<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>KCS\u2019s total volumes were down 0.1%<\/strong>, with the largest decrease coming from intermodal (-5.7%). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The market is extremely active<\/strong>. Storage continues to get fuller with many people expanding their operations to accommodate increased demand,&nbsp;<strong>be careful folks we think that rail car storage demand may be peaking cars are looking to come out.&nbsp;<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We have been busy with all sorts of subleases, trouble shooting for return on lease programs which activity has increased dramatically as we approach year-end..&nbsp;<strong>Call PFL today for the latest and greatest!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center has-vivid-red-color has-text-color\"> <strong>Hot Markets<\/strong> <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>PFL is offering<\/strong> longer term pressure cars with a free move on the CSX or BN. 4750cu covered hoppers for sale or lease. Clean and\/or last in refined products, 31.8k&#8217;s &amp; various 117\u2019s available for lease or purchase. 20k tankers for lease or purchase. 6200cu 286GRL plastic pellet covered hoppers. Bulk head &amp; center beam flats for lease (riser or riserless). mil gons for lease or purchase. Various Boxcars for lease. Call for details today!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>PFL is seeking<\/strong> 117J\u2019s last in ethanol service for lease. 286GRL boxcars for purchase, 286GRL wood chip gons for purchase, as well as pressure cars for the winter term lease or purchase. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<style>\r\n    #map {\r\n        height: 600px;\r\n        width: 100%;\r\n    }\r\n    #filterBar {\r\n        text-align: center;\r\n        margin: 20px 0;\r\n    }\r\n    table {\r\n        width: 100%;\r\n        border-collapse: collapse;\r\n        margin-top: 10px;\r\n        font-family: sans-serif;\r\n    }\r\n    th {\r\n        background-color: #020f52;\r\n        color: white;\r\n        padding: 8px;\r\n        border: 1px solid #ccc;\r\n        text-align: left;\r\n    }\r\n    td {\r\n        padding: 8px;\r\n        border: 1px solid #ccc;\r\n    }\r\n    tbody tr:nth-child(odd) {\r\n        background-color: #f9f9f9;\r\n    }\r\n    tbody tr:nth-child(even) {\r\n        background-color: #e8e8e8;\r\n    }\r\n    tr:nth-of-type(odd){background-color:#d7f6f7}\r\n    td{border:1px solid #ccc;padding:8px}\r\n#map{height:350px;max-width:100%}#dataTable,table{border-collapse:collapse;width:100%;height:400px;display:block;overflow:hidden;overflow-y:auto}th{background-color:#020f52;color:#fff;text-align:center;position:sticky;top:0},tr{border:1px solid #000}<\/style>\r\n<h3 align=\"center\">Live Railcar Markets<\/h3>\r\n            <style>.custom-table{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse}.custom-table td,.custom-table th{border:1px solid #ccc;padding:8px}body{margin:0;padding:0}.tab-container{display:flex}.tab{cursor:pointer;padding:10px;border:1px solid #ccc}.tab.active{background-color:#f0f0f0}.table-container{max-height:400px;overflow-y:auto}<\/style>\r\n                <div class=\"tab-container\">\r\n        <div class=\"tab active\" onclick='showTable(\"leaseOfferTable\", this)'>Lease Offers<\/div>\r\n        <div class=\"tab\" onclick='showTable(\"leaseBidsTable\", this)'>Lease Bids<\/div>\r\n        <div class=\"tab\" onclick='showTable(\"salesOffersTable\", this)'>Sales Offers<\/div>\r\n        <div class=\"tab\" onclick='showTable(\"salesBidsTable\", this)'>Sales Bids<\/div>\r\n    <\/div>\r\n    <div class=\"table-container\">\r\n        <table id=\"leaseOfferTable\" class=\"custom-table\" style=\"display:table\">\r\n            <thead>\r\n                <tr><th>CAT<\/th><th>Type<\/th><th>Capacity<\/th><th>GRL<\/th><th>QTY<\/th><th>LOC<\/th><th>Class<\/th><th>Prev. Use<\/th><th>Offer<\/th><th>Note<\/th><\/tr>\r\n            <\/thead>\r\n            <tbody><\/tbody>\r\n        <\/table>\r\n    <\/div>\r\n    <div class=\"table-container\">\r\n        <table id=\"leaseBidsTable\" class=\"custom-table\" style=\"display:none\">\r\n            <thead>\r\n                <tr><th>CAT<\/th><th>Type<\/th><th>Size<\/th><th>GRL<\/th><th>QTY<\/th><th>LOC<\/th><th>Class1<\/th><th>Term<\/th><th>Commodity<\/th><th>Offer<\/th><th>Note<\/th><\/tr>\r\n            <\/thead>\r\n            <tbody><\/tbody>\r\n        <\/table>\r\n    <\/div>\r\n    <div class=\"table-container\">\r\n        <table id=\"salesOffersTable\" class=\"custom-table\" style=\"display:none\">\r\n            <thead>\r\n                <tr><th>CAT<\/th><th>Type<\/th><th>Capacity<\/th><th>GRL<\/th><th>QTY<\/th><th>LOC<\/th><th>Class<\/th><th>Prev. 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Perhaps the most important news to share, if you are Canadian, is that Canada won the Gold Medal in the World Junior Hockey Tournament against the Russians in a 4-3 victory coming from behind 3-1 going into the third period. Congratulations to our Canadian readers \u2013 well done!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":178,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[43,17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-185","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-rail-news","category-railcar-report"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The PFL Railcar Market Report for January 6th, 2020<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Total North American rail volumes were down 7.3% year over year in week 52 (U.S. -9.2%, Canada -1.0%, Mexico -7.2%)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/pflpetroleum.com\/reports\/pfl-railcar-report-1-6-2020\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Curtis Chandler\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pflpetroleum.com\\\/reports\\\/pfl-railcar-report-1-6-2020\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pflpetroleum.com\\\/reports\\\/pfl-railcar-report-1-6-2020\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Curtis Chandler\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pflpetroleum.com\\\/reports\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b52cec883a82d94540b07fb1f9e49319\"},\"headline\":\"PFL Railcar Report 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He served as the Principal &amp; Director of Blackstone Energy Services Inc. &amp; played a crucial role as the Managing Director of Collingwood Ethanol L.P. He also worked as a Partner at Intercontinental Energy Brokers Inc., specializing in derivatives. Curtis's also served as the Director of Marketing &amp; Supply at Novagas Clearinghouse Ltd., a subsidiary of Dynegy Canada Inc. Additionally, he held the position of VP at Great West Energy Ltd., a subsidiary of Bow Valley Energy Inc., where he played an instrumental role in establishing the company. Curtis also co-founded of Great West Energy with his father in 1988. During the rapid growth of Great West Energy, Curtis oversaw information systems, managed supply purchasing &amp; sales, &amp; played a pivotal role in new market development. Curtis also worked as a market maker at Novagas, responsible for pricing decisions across all regions of Canada. In 1994, he co-founded Chandler Energy Inc. (CEI) &amp; Chandler Energy Resources Inc. These companies quickly became prominent players in the Canadian natural gas market, moving substantial volumes of gas to customers in North America. Chandler Energy Resources collaborated with Dominion Energy &amp; Sabine to develop an underground natural gas storage facility near Edmonton, Alberta. Following these successes, Curtis established Intercontinental Energy Brokers in 1997, which emerged as a leading gas &amp; power broker in Europe before being sold to ICAP in 2003. Curtis Chandler's notable achievements and diverse experiences position him as a respected figure in the energy and rail industries.\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/pflpetroleum.com\\\/reports\\\/author\\\/curtis\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"The PFL Railcar Market Report for January 6th, 2020","description":"Total North American rail volumes were down 7.3% year over year in week 52 (U.S. -9.2%, Canada -1.0%, Mexico -7.2%)","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/pflpetroleum.com\/reports\/pfl-railcar-report-1-6-2020\/","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Curtis Chandler","Est. reading time":"5 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